Consequences of quantitative tail bounds #
Geometric tail bounds give almost sure convergence, while exponential tail bounds give finite real moments with explicit Gamma-function estimates.
theorem
BGW.Probability.ae_tendsto_zero_of_geometric_tails
{Ω : Type u_1}
[MeasurableSpace Ω]
(μ : MeasureTheory.Measure Ω)
(D : ℕ → Ω → ℝ)
(hD : ∀ᵐ (ω : Ω) ∂μ, ∀ (n : ℕ), 0 ≤ D n ω)
(htail :
∀ (δ : ℝ), 0 < δ → ∃ (C : ℝ) (r : ℝ), 0 ≤ r ∧ r < 1 ∧ ∀ (n : ℕ), μ {ω : Ω | δ < D n ω} ≤ ENNReal.ofReal (C * r ^ n))
:
∀ᵐ (ω : Ω) ∂μ, Filter.Tendsto (fun (n : ℕ) => D n ω) Filter.atTop (nhds 0)
Nonnegative sequences with geometric upper tails converge to zero almost surely.
theorem
BGW.Probability.integrable_rpow_of_exp_tail
{Ω : Type u_1}
[MeasurableSpace Ω]
(μ : MeasureTheory.Measure Ω)
(F : Ω → ℝ)
(hF : Measurable F)
(hF0 : ∀ (ω : Ω), 0 ≤ F ω)
{D p : ℝ}
(hD : 0 ≤ D)
(hp : 0 < p)
(htail : ∀ (v : ℝ), 0 ≤ v → μ {ω : Ω | v < F ω} ≤ ENNReal.ofReal (D * Real.exp (-v)))
:
Exponential upper tails give finite real moments, with an explicit Gamma bound.